Launch Forensics · 6 min

How to spot a bundled launch

The chart looks organic. The wallets say otherwise.

A bundled launch is when the dev, or people working with the dev, buy a big slice of supply in the same moment the coin goes live, often in the very same block, spread across a handful of fresh wallets. On the chart it looks like early demand. In reality it's one person holding the bag they plan to hand to you.

Tell #1: Same block, many buyers

Real buyers can't all land in the launch block. If four or more wallets bought in block zero, that's coordination, not luck. Our QPF check found exactly this: 4 wallets in the launch block and 36% of supply bought in the first 3 blocks.

Tell #2: Fresh wallets, same funder

Bundle wallets are usually brand new and funded minutes earlier from one source. Follow the SOL backwards; when the trails meet, it's one network.

Tell #3: Identical sizes, identical timing

Humans buy messy amounts. Scripts buy 1.50 SOL, 1.50 SOL, 1.50 SOL.

Tell #4: Quiet distribution

Bundlers rarely dump at once. They drip sells across wallets into every green candle. Rising volume with a flat chart is a classic sign.

Proven vs. suspected. We only count wallets as linked when the link is proven on-chain. Some tools claim "100% insiders" from guesses. We'd rather show you a smaller, true number and tell you how confident we are.

What to do

Check the launch-block buyers before you ape.
Treat 20%+ in the first 3 blocks as a WARN at minimum.
Watch for drips: if linked wallets are selling, so should your thesis.

Not financial advice. Every booby trap has a tell.